Lead Commercial Forecasting Manager

DescriptionLead Commercial Forecasting ManagerLuton | Full-time | Hybrid20% bonus • 7% pension • Staff travel benefitsWe support hybrid working, and you’ll spend 60% of your time each month in the office.You turn complex commercial signals into forecasts people can trust and decisions the business can act on.You combine sharp analytical thinking with commercial judgement, clear storytelling and the confidence to challenge assumptions. If you want to shape how an airline plans for future performance, this is your opportunity.The opportunityAs Lead Commercial Forecasting Manager, you’ll lead easyJet’s forecasting of demand, ticket and ancillary revenue, profit and load factor, giving the business a clear view of future commercial performance.You’ll own the end to end forecasting process across a rolling 18 month horizon, improving models, assumptions and ways of working while supporting commercial planning, budgeting and strategic decision making.“This role is about more than producing a forecast. We’re looking for someone who is curious about what drives performance, confident challenging assumptions and brilliant at turning complex analysis into a clear commercial story.”Trading & Distribution Team, easyJetThe team & cultureYou’ll work closely with colleagues across Trading, Network, Revenue Management, Scheduling, Commercial Finance and Commercial Analytics, bringing their inputs together into one consistent and trusted forecast.It’s a collaborative environment where evidence matters, constructive challenge is welcome and continuous improvement is part of the day job. You’ll build strong relationships and help stakeholders make decisions with confidence.What you’ll be doingYou’ll lead monthly forecasts for ticket revenue, ancillary revenue, profit and load factor at route and month level, as well as the bottom up revenue budget forecast.You’ll own key assumptions around competitive capacity, network and capacity plans, economic drivers and strategic initiatives, applying sound judgement when market conditions or route circumstances change.You’ll explain forecast movements, risks and opportunities through clear commentary, scenario analysis and sensitivity modelling, helping decision makers understand the commercial implications.QualificationsWhat we’re looking forYou bring strong commercial forecasting and modelling expertise, with the numerical confidence to analyse complex data, test assumptions and solve commercial problems in a structured way.You understand revenue and cost drivers, market dynamics and performance measures, and can translate analysis into practical recommendations for technical and non technical audiences.You’re a credible partner and an experienced analytical leader who builds trust, develops others and creates accountability. You’ll also be motivated to improve forecasting methods, tools, automation, data quality and accuracy.What you’ll get> Competitive base salary + up to 20% bonus> 7% employer pension contribution> Private medical insurance> 25 days holiday + bank holidays> Annual credit towards an easyJet holiday> Excellent staff travel benefits> Flexible benefits package including share schemesDiversity isn't a checkbox — it's how we flyCommercial forecasting is stronger when different perspectives challenge the assumptions behind it. Whatever your background, if you bring curiosity, sound judgement and a clear way of communicating, we want to hear from you.Reasonable AdjustmentsAt easyJet, we are dedicated to fostering an inclusive workplace that reflects the diverse customers we serve across Europe. We welcome candidates from all backgrounds. If you require specific adjustments or support during the application or recruitment process, such as extra time for assessments or accessible interview locations, please contact us at We are committed to providing reasonable adjustments throughout the recruitment process to ensure accessibility and accommodation.Ready to make future performance clearer? Apply now.#LI-NR1 #LI-HybridJob Field: CommercialOrganization: CommercialSchedule: Full-time

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